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第一部分 市場技術指標評價································ 1 市場技術指標簡介································2 市場技術指標的前行模擬為跨時持續盈利提供可能··················7 找到適用你的市場技術指標··························21 關於市場技術指標、 模型及交易系統的其他觀點················31 第二部分 市場技術指標···························39 絕對廣量指標································40 累積/ 派發線 (AD)·····························44 累積擺動指標 (ASI) ···························47 自我調整移動平均線 (AMA) ·························51 漲跌背離擺動指標 (ADDO) ························52 漲跌線指標 (A-D 線)···························52 非累積漲跌線: 休斯寬度動量擺動指標·····················59 八個參數的百分比休斯寬度動量擺動指標····················65 漲跌比率指標 ·······························66 投資顧問情緒指標······························69 ADX (平均動向) ·····························73 美國個人投資者協會調查 ··························73 安德魯音叉線: 中線方法···························74 阿姆斯的簡易波動指標 (EMV) ·······················79 阿姆斯的短線交易指數 (TRIN,MKDS) ·················82 阿隆指標,阿隆擺動指標···························91 占星術,天文週期的金融應用·························97 占星術,長期週期·····························101 平均動向指標 (ADX) ··························102 平均真實波幅·······························102 黑箱系統·································103 布林線··································103 布林頻寬指標·······························109 博爾頓—特倫布萊指標···························110 括括弧,括弧,動態括弧··························111 寬度漲跌比指標: 寬度衝力·························112 好友指數 ································117 看漲—看跌美元價值流向線 (CPFL) ···················119 看漲—看跌美元價值比率 ·························123 看漲—看跌期權費比率 ··························126 看漲—看跌期權成交量比率·························130 蔡金的資金流指標·····························133 錢德動量擺動指標 (CMO) ························134 統計顯著性卡方檢驗····························137 熔斷ꎬ 每日價格限制ꎬ 停牌ꎬ 交易限制··················139 多重技術指標組合·····························140 交易商持倉報告······························141 商品期貨通道指標 (CCI) ························142 商品期貨通道指標穿越零: 零值 CCI ···················145 商品期貨選擇指標 (CSI) ························149 信心指標·································153 反向意見: 逆向思維投資藝術························154 估波曲線 (估波指南) ···························155 累計淨值線································162 累積成交量指標······························163 時間和價格週期······························163 數據時間和價格週期····························175 數據探索ꎬ 數據挖掘時間和價格週期····················176 月內之日時間和價格週期··························176 周內之日·································185 十年形態ꎬ 十年週期···························190 DEMA·································195 需求指標 (DI) ·····························195 背離停損,凱斯自我調整性背離停損······················196 帝納波利點位,斐波那契盈利目標······················196 動向指標 (DMI) ····························199 較低的平均動向 (ADX): 暴風雨前的平靜··················203 背離分析·································204 唐奇安的四周規則·····························207 雙指數移動平均線 (DEMA) ·······················207 道氏理論·································211 鄧尼根的單向公式·····························241 鄧尼根的衝力方法·····························241 有效市場假說·······························242 艾爾德射線································242 終點移動平均線 (EPMA) ························243 包絡線ꎬ 移動平均包絡線和交易帶·····················243 淨值下降比率·······························247 探索性數據分析······························247 指數移動平均線 (EMA),指數平滑移動平均線 ···············247 斐波那契數列,斐波那契週期························256 強力指數·································261 傅裡葉分析: 快速傅裡葉變換························261 基金淨申購指數······························265 CSI 永久合約期貨滾動演算法·······················266 期貨合約: 到期月份和符號·························267 江恩角··································268 江恩九方圖································272 通用汽車充當市場領頭羊股票························274 格羅斯三一指數······························278 霍蘭指數·································279 哈裡克獲利指標······························283 高動量交易系統······························286 高低點邏輯指數······························287 興登堡凶兆································288 聖杯指標·································289 鉤形指標·································289 假設檢驗·································290 指標季節———艾爾德概念·························290 指標季節———科爾比變數·························291 指標季節———科爾比變數指標策略舉例···················291 慣性指標·································299 內部人賣出/ 買入比率···························299 市場間背離································306 日內交易ꎬ 當日交易ꎬ 日內價格行為····················306 一月份晴雨錶·······························310 一月份效應································314 一月份前五日: 一個 “早期預警” 系統···················315 卡吉圖··································317 凱恩的%K 鉤形指標···························319 凱斯指標·································319 帶 EMA 濾波器的肯特納通道·······················320 肯特納短期趨勢規則····························323 肯特納 10 日移動平均線規則·······················324 關鍵反轉日································324 帶濾波器的關鍵反轉日···························325 克林格成交量擺動指標 (KO) ·······················328 確然指標 (KST) ····························329 大宗交易比率·······························336 大宗交易·································337 最小二乘法································337 線性回歸線································338 線性回歸斜率·······························341 流動性指標································344 利弗莫爾擺動系統ꎬ 利弗莫爾滲透濾波器··················345 羅瑞報告·································345 盧卡斯數列································354 保證金指標································354 保證金負債量·······························354 保證金比率································359 市場輪廓·································360 市場風向·································360 瑪特的大師交易公式····························361 數學模型·································361 最大熵譜分析 (MESA)ꎬ 最大熵法 (MEM)················363 麥克萊倫擺動指標·····························364 麥克萊倫和指標······························368 信步指標·································374 會員/ 零股指標······························374 會員空頭比率·······························375 蔡金的資金流指標·····························380 年內之月: 顯著季節性升降趨勢·······················380 最活躍股票································388 平滑異同移動平均交易方法 (MACD) ···················390 移動平均濾波器和多重確認·························393 移動平均擺動指標·····························393 移動平均線斜率······························394 多重共線性································394 運用指數移動平均線交叉規則的多重時間框架分析···············395 共同基金現金/ 資產比率··························399 N 日規則································399 負量指標 (NVI) ····························401 新高減新低指標······························404 新高新低差/ 交易股票總數量: 新高/ 新低比率················408 新高數量/ 交易股票總數量·························411 新股寒暑表指標 (IPO 月發行總量) ··················· 415 新低數量/ 交易股票總數量·························415 百分之九十之日ꎬ 九比一之日·······················420 諾弗裡的擁塞相系統····························429 上漲股票數量·······························429 下跌股票數量·······························432 零股平衡指標: 零股賣出總量/ 零股買入總量·················437 零股賣空比率·······························440 奧哈馬的三維技術指標···························452 淨額成交量指標······························452 未平倉合約································453 未平倉合約之拉裡
(美)羅伯特·W.科爾比 美國大型金融服務集團公司CMT董事長兼首席投資策略師,市場技術分析師協會(MTA)成員,紐約大學和紐約金融學院的兼職教授。 在創立CMT之前,科爾比曾在幾家華爾街大公司擔任自營交易員、技術分析師和基本面分析師,然後擔任機構、私人投資者和交易員的顧問,提供技術分析報告以及為客戶量身定制的研究服務和交易系統。在此過程中,他親眼目睹了各種大肆向公眾宣傳和兜售的“買入並持有”、“資產配置再平衡”等策略的巨大失敗。 科爾比認為,投資者應該有一個更好的選擇,於是他創立了CMT,利用他經受住時間考驗的研究,説明投資者從傳統交易模式的失敗中恢復過來,並走向輝煌——無論股市處於牛市還是熊市背景。他的客戶包括世界上非常有名的成功交易員和投資者。 多年來,科爾比撰寫了大量關於投資策略、研究方法、基本指標和圖表模式解釋的論文,發表在《福布斯》、《機構投資者》、《華爾街日報》、《投資者商業日報》等美國的幾乎所有有影響力的專業媒體上。
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